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Reversals

MoQ Sniper

Precision reversal and breakout detection with adaptive statistical envelopes.

MoQ Sniper combines the proprietary MARI (Mean Adaptive Reversal Index) with Nadaraya-Watson kernel-regression envelopes and price countdowns to identify high-probability reversal and breakout zones. The envelopes are HTF-aware and band widths adapt dynamically to volatility.

FuturesForexCryptoStocks
MoQ Sniper indicator screenshot
01Features

What's Inside MoQ Sniper

MARI (Mean Adaptive Reversal Index)

Proprietary composite reversal score that synthesizes mean-reversion metrics and adjusts sensitivity to the current volatility regime.

Price Countdowns

Tracks sequential directional closes and labels the count on-chart to identify exhaustion and continuation patterns.

Nadaraya-Watson Envelopes

Non-parametric kernel-regression envelopes that provide smooth trend estimates with statistically derived boundaries.

HTF-Aware Analysis

Pulls higher-timeframe volatility and trend context into envelope calculations without requiring manual timeframe switching.

Adaptive Band Widths

Envelope widths expand and contract dynamically based on realized volatility, maintaining statistical validity across all market conditions.

Mean-Reversion Detection

Flags statistically extreme price extensions relative to the kernel-regression mean for high-probability fade entries.

Breakout Identification

Detects sustained momentum beyond envelope boundaries to confirm breakout continuation rather than false breakout traps.

Multi-Timeframe Support

Simultaneously processes data from multiple timeframes to provide layered analysis from scalping to swing perspectives.

02Use Cases

Use Cases

01

Fade overextended moves at Nadaraya-Watson envelope extremes confirmed by MARI readings

02

Identify breakout continuations when price countdowns exceed statistical exhaustion norms

03

Filter counter-trend entries using HTF-aware envelope direction on futures and forex

04

Combine with MoQ MS/OB order blocks for multi-factor confluence reversal setups

03Deep dive

MoQ Sniper, in depth

MARI — Mean Adaptive Reversal Index

MARI is a proprietary composite index that synthesizes multiple mean-reversion metrics into a single normalized score. When MARI reaches statistically extreme levels, it flags potential reversal zones. Unlike simple overbought/oversold oscillators, MARI adjusts its sensitivity to the current volatility regime.

Nadaraya-Watson Envelopes

The indicator applies Nadaraya-Watson kernel regression to construct smooth, non-parametric trend estimates and wraps them with adaptive-width envelopes. Because the bandwidth parameter is linked to higher-timeframe volatility data, the envelopes widen during expansion phases and contract during consolidation.

Price Countdowns & Breakout Mode

The price countdown module tracks sequential closes in a single direction and labels the count directly on the chart. Extended counts in combination with envelope proximity signal exhaustion, while failed countdowns near the envelope midline can indicate breakout continuation.

04Documentation

MoQ Sniper Documentation

Version: V4.1 · License: proprietary — MomentumQ GmbH · © MomentumQ GmbH

1. Overview

MomentumQ Sniper integrates multiple quantitative and technical modules into one visual framework.

It's designed for professional and discretionary traders who want a complete bias and structure map directly on their chart.

Core Features

  • Nadaraya-Watson Envelopes – adaptive smoothing + dynamic trend channel
  • Price Countdown Setups – automatic multi-bar exhaustion detection
  • Moving Average Signals – normalized distance-based turning points
  • Customizable Moving Averages Stack – short- to long-term structure view
  • OLS Regression Line – quick trend estimation
  • Bollinger Bands Module – optional classic volatility view
  • Dark / Light Mode Support

2. Theme Settings

Dark / Light Mode

Choose between Dark Mode or Light Mode to match your TradingView background.

All text, labels, and signal colors adjust automatically for clarity.

3. Moving Average Signal Engine

Function

This module measures how far price is from its Simple Moving Average (SMA) over a configurable window and normalizes that distance to identify potential momentum rotations.

Signals

  • Bullish (B) – price recovering from below its mean (potential upturn)
  • Bearish (S) – price retreating from above its mean (potential downturn)

These labels can be toggled with "Show MA Signals." They act as contextual momentum markers — not guaranteed entry/exit signals.

Price chart with a dashed moving average, B badges below bars where price turns up from below the average and S badges above bars where price turns down from above it.B and S mark rotations in price's distance from its moving average — contextual momentum markers, not entry or exit instructions.

4. Price Countdown Setups

Inspired by quantitative exhaustion logic, this module counts sequences of directional closes.

Conditions

  • Bullish Setup: A sustained streak of weakening closes completes, suggesting downside exhaustion.
  • Bearish Setup: A sustained streak of strengthening closes completes, suggesting upside exhaustion.

When the full sequence completes, the bar is highlighted. The exact counting rules and lookback references are part of the script's internal logic.

Visualization Modes

  • Shapes – markers (+ or –) above/below bars
  • Background – subtle background color
  • Both – display both shapes and background
  • Off – hide the module

Background mode:

Custom background colors (bullish / bearish) are user-defined.

Price chart where four individual bars carry a full-height coloured background tint — red near a high, green near a low — marking bars on which a countdown setup completed.Background mode tints the bar on which a countdown setup completes: red for upside exhaustion, green for downside.

Shapes mode:

This helps you instantly spot exhaustion clusters that may precede reversals.

The same price chart as the background-mode figure, with minus markers above two bars near a high and plus markers below two bars near a low.Shapes mode marks the identical bars with a minus above or a plus below, leaving the chart background clear.

5. Nadaraya-Watson Envelopes (Trend Model)

The core of Sniper. It applies a Nadaraya-Watson kernel regression to smooth price and draws adaptive envelopes based on volatility.

Main Components

  • Smoothed NW Line – fair-value estimate of price
  • Upper and Lower Envelopes – dynamic overbought/oversold zones
  • Fill Between Bands – optional shaded trend channel
  • Dynamic Trend Coloring – slope-based (lime = up, red = down)
  • Bar Re-Coloring (Optional) – color candles by NW trend

1. Smoothed NW Line

Price chart with a single smooth blue curve threading through the candles as a fair-value estimate, and a dashed measure showing how far one impulse high sits above it.The smoothed Nadaraya-Watson line is a fair-value estimate of price — the reference every other part of the model is measured from.

2. Upper and Lower Envelopes

The same chart as the previous figure with upper and lower envelope curves added around the smoothed line, narrow through a quiet stretch and wide through a volatile advance.Layer two: envelopes above and below the line mark where price is statistically stretched, and their width tracks volatility.

3 & 4. Fill Between Bands & Dynamic Trend Coloring

The same chart with the space between the envelopes shaded — green where the smoothed line is rising, red where it is falling — and a dashed vertical line at the bar the colour flips.Layer three: filling between the bands turns the envelopes into one channel, and slope decides its colour — green rising, red falling.

5. Bar Re-Coloring

The same chart with every candle painted by the model's trend direction instead of its own open and close, and one down-closing bar inside the rising stretch outlined.Layer four: bar re-colouring paints every candle with the model's direction, so the chart carries one opinion instead of two.

Adaptive Bandwidth

The smoothing reacts to volatility using ATR or Standard Deviation. When volatility rises, the bandwidth expands; when it contracts, smoothing tightens.

You can control:

  • Adapt Mode: ATR or StdDev
  • Adapt Strength: sensitivity
  • Adapt Lookback: period for baseline

Higher Timeframe Mode

You can compute the entire NW model using a higher timeframe source (e.g., 4H data on a 15m chart). This produces a higher-level directional channel useful for lower-timeframe execution.

Mini-Dashboard

A small table (top-right corner) displays:

  • "UP" = positive slope
  • "DOWN" = negative slope

This quick visual cue gives you instant trend bias.

The same chart with a small two-cell table pinned in the top-right corner, headed NW TREND and reading DOWN because the smoothed line is falling under the last bars.The mini-dashboard is a slope readout: UP while the smoothed line is rising, DOWN while it is falling.

6. NW Signals (Alerts & Markers)

When "Show Signals" is enabled, Sniper can mark events derived from the NW envelopes.

Modes

  • Reversal Mode – price touches the outer envelope (potential reaction)
  • Breakout Mode – price breaks through the envelope (potential continuation)

Reversal:

Chart with NW envelopes where a down triangle marks a bar whose wick stops on the upper envelope and turns, an up triangle marks a low reaching the lower envelope, and a later bar that closes outside the band is outlined but left unmarked.Reversal Mode marks bars that reach an envelope and turn back — a potential reaction at the boundary.

Breakout:

The same chart and envelopes as the reversal figure, with an up triangle on the first bar closing above the upper envelope, a down triangle on the first bar closing below the lower one, and the earlier envelope touch outlined but unmarked.Breakout Mode marks bars that close through an envelope instead — read as continuation rather than reaction.

Alerts

Two built-in alert conditions:

  • NW Long Signal – bullish touch or breakout
  • NW Short Signal – bearish touch or breakout

You can attach TradingView alerts to receive notifications in real time.

7. Moving Averages Stack

A flexible framework of multiple MAs (5 → 325 periods) with individual visibility and type selection.

Configuration

For each period you can choose:

  • SMA or EMA
  • Custom color
  • Show/hide toggle
Chart with four moving averages of increasing period fanned out in order, the shortest closest to price and the longest well below it, each labelled with its period at the right edge.The stack runs from 5 to 325 periods with per-line type, colour and visibility; the order they sit in is the structural read.

Common Use Cases

  • Short-term (5-10) → micro trend and momentum
  • Mid-term (20-50) → structure bias
  • Long-term (100-325) → macro direction

This helps visualize structural alignment (bullish stack vs bearish stack) at a glance.

8. OLS Regression Line

The Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) Regression module fits a linear trend line over a selected number of bars (default 15).

Options

  • Show Regression Line – displays current slope
  • Show Intercept Line – displays baseline level

Purpose: Measure near-term direction and strength. Detect acceleration or deceleration phases.

Chart with a straight least-squares line fitted over the last fifteen bars, a horizontal intercept line at the level that fit starts from, and the previous window's flatter, dashed fit to its left.The OLS module fits a straight line over the lookback — 15 bars by default — and can draw the level it starts from as an intercept line.

9. Bollinger Bands Module

An optional overlay for traditional 20-period SMA ± 2 standard deviations. When enabled:

  • Draws upper and lower bands.
  • Optional color fill for quick volatility context.

This is a familiar complement to the adaptive NW model — allowing comparison between static and adaptive volatility zones.

10. Alerts Summary

Built-in alert conditions:

  • Bullish Price Countdown – possible upward momentum
  • Bearish Price Countdown – possible downward momentum
  • NW Long Signal / Short Signal – interaction with envelopes

These alerts are optional and purely informational.

11. Best Practices

  • After each update, remove and re-add the indicator to load new settings.
  • Choose Dark / Light Mode first for consistent colors.
  • For scalping or intraday trading:
    • Enable NW Envelopes + Adaptive Bandwidth.
    • Enable Price Countdown.
    • Use short MAs (8–30).
  • For swing or positional work:
    • Focus on higher timeframe NW trend and long MAs (50–325).
    • Disable extra signals for clarity.

12. Legal Disclaimer

The MomentumQ Sniper indicator and this documentation are provided for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice, investment recommendations, or an offer to buy or sell any financial instrument.

Trading involves substantial risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Users are solely responsible for their own decisions and should consult a licensed financial advisor before acting on any analysis.

The MomentumQ Sniper script is proprietary to MomentumQ GmbH and provided for personal, non-transferable use under the MomentumQ Terms of Service; redistribution, modification, and source extraction are prohibited.

© MomentumQ GmbH. All rights reserved.

05Get Started

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Analytical software, not advice. Trading involves substantial risk of loss.

Disclaimer: The indicators and market analyses provided by MomentumQ GmbH do not constitute a financial service, in particular investment advice, an offer or solicitation to buy or sell financial instruments. The information is provided for informational purposes only and does not replace personal advice. Despite careful review, no guarantee is given for accuracy, completeness, or timeliness. Past performance is not an indicator of future results. Investments involve risks, and a total loss of capital invested is possible. Use of the information is at your own risk.

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